YEARLY HIGH
1.5587 MNT
YEARLY LOW
1.3408 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5011 MNT

2018 CDF to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 28, valuing the pair at 1.5587. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 12, dropping to 1.3408.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2180 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5130 to the December average rate of 1.5160, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.5587 was down 27.99% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.1646, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,794 MNT
2017 Average 8,422 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 6,704 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,089.79 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.5412
1.4738
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4888, compared to 1.5134 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0246 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4888
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5134

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.1734 MNT (High: 1.5142 / Low: 1.3408). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0077 MNT (High: 1.4914 / Low: 1.4837).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1734
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0077

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0226 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0226

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 1.5066) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.5414), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0348 (-2.26%).

2018 Avg (July) 1.5066
2017 Avg (July) 1.5414

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5503 1.4997 1.5130
February 1.5093 1.4723 1.4904
March 1.4894 1.4726 1.4794
April 1.4860 1.4773 1.4802
May 1.4914 1.4837 1.4868
June 1.5142 1.3408 1.4832
July 1.5587 1.4705 1.5066
August 1.5122 1.4867 1.5014
September 1.5029 1.4852 1.4933
October 1.5454 1.4949 1.5274
November 1.5568 1.5142 1.5356
December 1.5557 1.4946 1.5160