YEARLY HIGH
1.7243 MNT
YEARLY LOW
1.2354 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4967 MNT

2023 CDF to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the CDF to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 4, valuing the pair at 1.7243. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 1.2354.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4889 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6630 to the December average rate of 1.2674, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1.7243 was up 2.74% compared to the 2022 peak of 1.6783, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,622 MNT
2022 Average 7,732 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 6,177 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,444.72 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1.7338
1.2250
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6267, compared to 1.3666 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2602 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6267
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3666

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was May, with a trading range of 0.2172 MNT (High: 1.7243 / Low: 1.5071). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0254 MNT (High: 1.4037 / Low: 1.3783).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2172
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0254

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1226 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1226

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2023: 1.6137) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1.5323), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0814 (+5.31%).

2023 Avg (May) 1.6137
2022 Avg (May) 1.5323

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6808 1.6453 1.6630
February 1.6660 1.6367 1.6519
March 1.7199 1.6326 1.6493
April 1.7199 1.6108 1.6914
May 1.7243 1.5071 1.6137
June 1.5135 1.4602 1.4911
July 1.4602 1.3800 1.4218
August 1.4139 1.3853 1.3933
September 1.4037 1.3783 1.3891
October 1.3962 1.3282 1.3703
November 1.4021 1.2671 1.3575
December 1.2946 1.2354 1.2674