2019 CDF to MNT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6356 MNT

YEARLY LOW

1.4773 MNT

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5564 MNT

2019 CDF to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the CDF to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 25, valuing the pair at 1.6356. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 14, dropping to 1.4773.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1584 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5010 to the December average rate of 1.6066, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.6356 was up 4.94% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.5587, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,178 MNT

2018 Average 7,506 MNT

Yearly Trough Low 7,386 MNT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 791.86 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.6256

1.4828

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5070, compared to 1.6057 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0987 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5070

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6057

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 0.1293 MNT (High: 1.6066 / Low: 1.4773). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0090 MNT (High: 1.6204 / Low: 1.6114).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1293

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0090

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0285 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0285

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 1.6072) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.5014), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1058 (+7.05%).

2019 Avg (August) 1.6072

2018 Avg (August) 1.5014

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5100	1.4902	1.5010
February	1.5421	1.4891	1.5106
March	1.5389	1.4971	1.5162
April	1.5376	1.4943	1.5231
May	1.5338	1.4831	1.4947
June	1.6066	1.4773	1.4965
July	1.6129	1.5926	1.6015
August	1.6356	1.5959	1.6072
September	1.6079	1.5968	1.6007
October	1.6142	1.5890	1.6046
November	1.6204	1.6114	1.6137
December	1.6157	1.6006	1.6066