YEARLY HIGH
0.0540 PHP
YEARLY LOW
0.0417 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0492 PHP

2016 CDF to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 0.0540. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 0.0417.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0123 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0513 to the December average rate of 0.0427, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.63% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0540 was up 4.31% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0517, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 270 PHP
2015 Average 246 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 208 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 61.57 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0521
0.0419
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0504, compared to 0.0480 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0024 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0504
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0480

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0104 PHP (High: 0.0540 / Low: 0.0435). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 PHP (High: 0.0516 / Low: 0.0511).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0104
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0070 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0070

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 0.0498) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0508), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0010 (-2.00%).

2016 Avg (November) 0.0498
2015 Avg (November) 0.0508

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0518 0.0506 0.0513
February 0.0516 0.0511 0.0513
March 0.0512 0.0496 0.0503
April 0.0506 0.0496 0.0499
May 0.0510 0.0501 0.0505
June 0.0506 0.0483 0.0495
July 0.0501 0.0482 0.0494
August 0.0484 0.0471 0.0477
September 0.0496 0.0476 0.0487
October 0.0506 0.0493 0.0498
November 0.0540 0.0435 0.0498
December 0.0438 0.0417 0.0427