2012 CDF to UZS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.1632 UZS

YEARLY LOW

1.9555 UZS

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.0582 UZS

2012 CDF to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the CDF to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 23, valuing the pair at 2.1632. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 26, dropping to 1.9555.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2077 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9820 to the December average rate of 2.1379, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.86% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2.1632 was up 8.46% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.9944, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,816 UZS

2011 Average 9,467 UZS

Yearly Trough Low 9,778 UZS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,038.30 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.1535

1.9664

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0203, compared to 2.0961 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0757 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0203

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0961

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.0690 UZS (High: 2.0851 / Low: 2.0161). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0186 UZS (High: 2.1293 / Low: 2.1107).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0690

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0186

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0050 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0050

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 2.1379) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.9838), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1541 (+7.77%).

2012 Avg (December) 2.1379

2011 Avg (December) 1.9838

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.9955	1.9555	1.9820
February	2.0221	1.9643	1.9942
March	2.0231	1.9822	2.0048
April	2.0478	1.9932	2.0282
May	2.0714	2.0276	2.0498
June	2.0766	2.0303	2.0630
July	2.0851	2.0161	2.0580
August	2.0812	2.0560	2.0685
September	2.1063	2.0725	2.0884
October	2.1155	2.0949	2.1049
November	2.1293	2.1107	2.1189
December	2.1632	2.1120	2.1379