YEARLY HIGH
5.1836 UZS
YEARLY LOW
4.6952 UZS
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9861 UZS

2018 CDF to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 5.1836. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 26, dropping to 4.6952.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4884 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0868 to the December average rate of 5.1192, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.1836 was down 0.77% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.2239, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,918 UZS
2017 Average 17,238 UZS
Yearly Trough Low 23,476 UZS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,442.10 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.1517
4.7625
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0191, compared to 4.9532 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0659 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0191
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9532

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.2799 UZS (High: 4.9751 / Low: 4.6952). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0373 UZS (High: 5.0654 / Low: 5.0282).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.2799
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0373

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0849 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0849

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 5.0868) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.6701), the exchange rate shifted by +2.4167 (+90.51%).

2018 Avg (January) 5.0868
2017 Avg (January) 2.6701

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1836 5.0297 5.0868
February 5.1254 5.0353 5.0866
March 5.0654 5.0282 5.0453
April 5.0327 4.9941 5.0111
May 5.0093 4.9462 4.9765
June 4.9663 4.8768 4.9081
July 4.9751 4.6952 4.8232
August 4.8314 4.7542 4.7949
September 4.9846 4.7670 4.8567
October 5.1093 4.9421 5.0340
November 5.1516 5.0197 5.0911
December 5.1793 5.0671 5.1192