YEARLY HIGH
5.4442 UZS
YEARLY LOW
5.2464 UZS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.3289 UZS

2021 CDF to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the CDF to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 7, valuing the pair at 5.4442. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 10, dropping to 5.2464.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1978 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3125 to the December average rate of 5.4037, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5.4442 was down 22.36% compared to the 2020 peak of 7.0120, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,221 UZS
2020 Average 27,226 UZS
Yearly Trough Low 26,232 UZS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 989.10 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

5.4162
5.2665
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.2985, compared to 5.3592 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0607 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.2985
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.3592

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 0.0853 UZS (High: 5.3880 / Low: 5.3027). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0332 UZS (High: 5.3298 / Low: 5.2965).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0853
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0332

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0361 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0361

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 5.4037) against the same month in 2020 (average: 5.3590), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0447 (+0.83%).

2021 Avg (December) 5.4037
2020 Avg (December) 5.3590

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.3298 5.2965 5.3125
February 5.3313 5.2957 5.3177
March 5.3436 5.2595 5.2816
April 5.3121 5.2464 5.2790
May 5.3139 5.2524 5.2885
June 5.3577 5.2837 5.3119
July 5.3517 5.2990 5.3285
August 5.3797 5.3240 5.3554
September 5.3852 5.3308 5.3631
October 5.3880 5.3027 5.3496
November 5.3900 5.3234 5.3550
December 5.4442 5.3746 5.4037