2016 CRC to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.6175 UGX

YEARLY LOW

6.1198 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.2880 UGX

2016 CRC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CRC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 29, valuing the pair at 6.6175. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 28, dropping to 6.1198.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4977 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4279 to the December average rate of 6.5403, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.75% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.6175 was down 4.22% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.9091, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CRC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,088 UGX

2015 Average 30,293 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 30,599 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,488.38 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.5804

6.0992

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CRC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.2981, compared to 6.2780 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0202 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.2981

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.2780

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.3318 UGX (High: 6.6175 / Low: 6.2857). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0301 UGX (High: 6.1542 / Low: 6.1240).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3318

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0301

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1039 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1039

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 6.4469) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.4273), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0196 (+0.31%).

2016 Avg (November) 6.4469

2015 Avg (November) 6.4273

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.5086	6.2754	6.4279
February	6.4647	6.2680	6.3919
March	6.3228	6.2401	6.2880
April	6.3001	6.1828	6.2430
May	6.3256	6.1675	6.2340
June	6.2600	6.1604	6.2039
July	6.2291	6.1596	6.1837
August	6.1730	6.1198	6.1412
September	6.1542	6.1240	6.1393
October	6.2833	6.1447	6.2163
November	6.6175	6.2857	6.4469
December	6.6088	6.4528	6.5403