2018 CRC to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.8948 UGX

YEARLY LOW

6.0099 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.4652 UGX

2018 CRC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CRC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 6.8948. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 8, dropping to 6.0099.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8849 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4172 to the December average rate of 6.2051, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.8948 was up 4.25% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.6137, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CRC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,474 UGX

2017 Average 31,959 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 30,050 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,424.67 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.8333

6.0611

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CRC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.5171, compared to 6.4133 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1038 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.5171

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.4133

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.3978 UGX (High: 6.6050 / Low: 6.2072). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0732 UGX (High: 6.5680 / Low: 6.4947).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.3978

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0732

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2651 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2651

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 6.7689) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.3194), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4496 (+7.11%).

2018 Avg (June) 6.7689

2017 Avg (June) 6.3194

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.4739	6.3803	6.4172
February	6.4193	6.3390	6.3717
March	6.5091	6.3889	6.4297
April	6.5680	6.4947	6.5292
May	6.6634	6.5518	6.5859
June	6.8948	6.6552	6.7689
July	6.8793	6.4999	6.6224
August	6.6294	6.4969	6.5711
September	6.6151	6.4625	6.5654
October	6.6050	6.2072	6.3905
November	6.2219	6.0099	6.1254
December	6.2565	6.1374	6.2051