YEARLY HIGH
6.6099 UGX
YEARLY LOW
5.9891 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.3124 UGX

2019 CRC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the CRC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 6.6099. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 5.9891.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6208 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.1385 to the December average rate of 6.4814, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 6.6099 was down 4.13% compared to the 2018 peak of 6.8948, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CRC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,050 UGX
2018 Average 32,328 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 29,945 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,104.24 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

6.5289
5.9783
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CRC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.2120, compared to 6.4128 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2007 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.2120
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.4128

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was November, with a trading range of 0.2776 UGX (High: 6.5883 / Low: 6.3107). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0603 UGX (High: 6.3867 / Low: 6.3263).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2776
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0603

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1206 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1206

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 6.4814) against the same month in 2018 (average: 6.2051), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2763 (+4.45%).

2019 Avg (December) 6.4814
2018 Avg (December) 6.2051

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.1989 6.0264 6.1385
February 6.0973 5.9891 6.0242
March 6.2154 6.0914 6.1418
April 6.3110 6.1624 6.2336
May 6.4308 6.2845 6.3640
June 6.4323 6.3006 6.3701
July 6.4773 6.3379 6.4029
August 6.5286 6.4437 6.4830
September 6.4911 6.2959 6.3623
October 6.3867 6.3263 6.3567
November 6.5883 6.3107 6.3902
December 6.6099 6.4091 6.4814