2014 DJF to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6465 ALL

YEARLY LOW

0.5626 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5912 ALL

2014 DJF to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the DJF to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.6465. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 6, dropping to 0.5626.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0839 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5798 to the December average rate of 0.6380, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.6465 was up 4.32% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.6197, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,232 ALL

2013 Average 2,977 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 2,813 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 419.30 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.6451

0.5607

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5737, compared to 0.6087 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0350 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5737

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6087

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.0284 ALL (High: 0.6210 / Low: 0.5926). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0071 ALL (High: 0.5801 / Low: 0.5731).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0284

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0071

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0074 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0074

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 0.6380) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.5746), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0634 (+11.03%).

2014 Avg (December) 0.6380

2013 Avg (December) 0.5746

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5855	0.5733	0.5798
February	0.5854	0.5719	0.5776
March	0.5758	0.5648	0.5702
April	0.5754	0.5637	0.5677
May	0.5767	0.5626	0.5703
June	0.5801	0.5731	0.5764
July	0.5821	0.5730	0.5781
August	0.5944	0.5787	0.5848
September	0.6210	0.5926	0.6081
October	0.6258	0.6095	0.6161
November	0.6333	0.6178	0.6270
December	0.6465	0.6280	0.6380