YEARLY HIGH
0.6245 ALL
YEARLY LOW
0.5899 ALL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6076 ALL

2018 DJF to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 0.6245. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 17, dropping to 0.5899.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0346 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6126 to the December average rate of 0.6095, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6245 was down 14.44% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.7299, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,122 ALL
2017 Average 3,327 ALL
Yearly Trough Low 2,949 ALL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 173.03 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6179
0.5937
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6043, compared to 0.6109 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0065 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6043
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6109

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0236 ALL (High: 0.6245 / Low: 0.6008). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0077 ALL (High: 0.6102 / Low: 0.6024).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0236
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0077

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0072 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0072

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.6126) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.7177), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1052 (-14.65%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.6126
2017 Avg (January) 0.7177

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6245 0.6008 0.6126
February 0.6147 0.5961 0.6054
March 0.6108 0.5934 0.6008
April 0.6019 0.5899 0.5957
May 0.6146 0.5969 0.6045
June 0.6132 0.5914 0.6070
July 0.6102 0.6024 0.6058
August 0.6226 0.6040 0.6118
September 0.6144 0.6035 0.6098
October 0.6191 0.6078 0.6123
November 0.6209 0.6117 0.6159
December 0.6166 0.6030 0.6095