2016 DJF to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7271 ALL

YEARLY LOW

0.6774 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6985 ALL

2016 DJF to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 0.7271. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 0.6774.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0497 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7153 to the December average rate of 0.7187, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.46% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.7271 was down 3.02% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.7498, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,636 ALL

2015 Average 3,545 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 3,387 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 248.73 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.7218

0.6844

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6974, compared to 0.6996 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0022 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6974

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6996

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0334 ALL (High: 0.7218 / Low: 0.6884). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0082 ALL (High: 0.6951 / Low: 0.6869).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0334

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0082

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0134 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0134

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.7187) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.7111), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0076 (+1.07%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.7187

2015 Avg (December) 0.7111

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7209	0.7091	0.7153
February	0.7157	0.6915	0.7019
March	0.7142	0.6875	0.6991
April	0.6952	0.6821	0.6883
May	0.6981	0.6774	0.6889
June	0.7000	0.6819	0.6910
July	0.6988	0.6897	0.6957
August	0.6960	0.6798	0.6875
September	0.6951	0.6869	0.6899
October	0.7056	0.6873	0.6976
November	0.7218	0.6884	0.7080
December	0.7271	0.7096	0.7187