YEARLY HIGH
0.1317 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.1254 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1281 HNL

2016 DJF to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 0.1317. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 0.1254.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0063 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1262 to the December average rate of 0.1307, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.53% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1317 was up 4.84% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1256, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 658 HNL
2015 Average 611 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 627 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 31.52 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1311
0.1258
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1271, compared to 0.1291 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0021 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1271
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1291

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0024 HNL (High: 0.1302 / Low: 0.1278). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 HNL (High: 0.1273 / Low: 0.1268).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0024
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.1307) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1232), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0075 (+6.11%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.1307
2015 Avg (December) 0.1232

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1271 0.1254 0.1262
February 0.1277 0.1263 0.1271
March 0.1278 0.1268 0.1272
April 0.1273 0.1268 0.1270
May 0.1275 0.1269 0.1272
June 0.1283 0.1273 0.1277
July 0.1293 0.1279 0.1285
August 0.1294 0.1286 0.1289
September 0.1292 0.1281 0.1288
October 0.1294 0.1279 0.1287
November 0.1302 0.1278 0.1294
December 0.1317 0.1298 0.1307