2016 DJF to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

78.5553 IDR

YEARLY LOW

73.0152 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

74.8762 IDR

2016 DJF to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 17, valuing the pair at 78.5553. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 4, dropping to 73.0152.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.5401 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 78.0624 to the December average rate of 75.1576, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 78.5553 was down 5.14% compared to the 2015 peak of 82.8088, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 392,776 IDR

2015 Average 376,976 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 365,076 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,700.29 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

78.5381

72.8290

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 75.5215, compared to 74.2309 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2906 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 75.5215

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 74.2309

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 2.8647 IDR (High: 76.1107 / Low: 73.2461). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5152 IDR (High: 74.2217 / Low: 73.7065).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.8647

July Spread (Stable) ±0.5152

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 1.9887 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9887

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 78.0624) against the same month in 2015 (average: 70.6649), the exchange rate shifted by +7.3975 (+10.47%).

2016 Avg (January) 78.0624

2015 Avg (January) 70.6649

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	78.5553	77.4721	78.0624
February	77.3273	75.2895	76.0913
March	75.2002	73.2659	74.1026
April	74.3777	73.7658	74.1272
May	76.7699	73.9436	75.6032
June	76.8021	74.1502	75.1423
July	74.2217	73.7065	73.9673
August	74.8020	73.7870	74.1785
September	74.7776	73.0219	73.9626
October	73.6712	73.0152	73.3048
November	76.1107	73.2461	74.8146
December	76.0596	74.3582	75.1576