YEARLY HIGH
86.0587 IDR
YEARLY LOW
74.5709 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
79.6467 IDR

2018 DJF to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 86.0587. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 74.5709.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.4878 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 75.0448 to the December average rate of 81.5489, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.67% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 86.0587 was up 13.34% compared to the 2017 peak of 75.9323, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 430,293 IDR
2017 Average 374,166 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 372,854 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 57,439.01 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

86.3449
74.0175
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 77.4759, compared to 81.8174 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.3416 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 77.4759
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 81.8174

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 4.4694 IDR (High: 84.9808 / Low: 80.5113). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3145 IDR (High: 81.0358 / Low: 80.7212).

November Spread (Volatile) ±4.4694
September Spread (Stable) ±0.3145

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.9120 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.9120

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 85.3176) against the same month in 2017 (average: 75.5874), the exchange rate shifted by +9.7302 (+12.87%).

2018 Avg (October) 85.3176
2017 Avg (October) 75.5874

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 75.9559 74.5709 75.0448
February 77.5339 75.1471 76.4923
March 77.8539 77.5367 77.7168
April 78.4465 77.7469 78.0281
May 79.6922 78.1243 79.0139
June 79.8757 77.8047 78.5593
July 80.5541 79.8331 80.2214
August 80.8140 80.2858 80.5100
September 81.0358 80.7212 80.9010
October 86.0587 81.9030 85.3176
November 84.9808 80.5113 82.4057
December 82.1416 80.2192 81.5489