YEARLY HIGH
0.0845 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.0723 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0770 SCR

2012 DJF to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the DJF to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 23, valuing the pair at 0.0845. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 9, dropping to 0.0723.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0122 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0779 to the December average rate of 0.0736, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.0845 was up 8.84% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.0776, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 422 SCR
2011 Average 350 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 361 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 60.96 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.0826
0.0722
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0789, compared to 0.0751 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0038 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0789
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0751

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was August, with a trading range of 0.0062 SCR (High: 0.0791 / Low: 0.0729). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 SCR (High: 0.0740 / Low: 0.0733).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0062
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0072 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0072

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 0.0817) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.0688), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0129 (+18.78%).

2012 Avg (July) 0.0817
2011 Avg (July) 0.0688

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0797 0.0748 0.0779
February 0.0802 0.0774 0.0785
March 0.0800 0.0767 0.0789
April 0.0801 0.0771 0.0784
May 0.0816 0.0774 0.0790
June 0.0823 0.0787 0.0808
July 0.0845 0.0788 0.0817
August 0.0791 0.0729 0.0745
September 0.0737 0.0723 0.0731
October 0.0741 0.0730 0.0737
November 0.0743 0.0733 0.0738
December 0.0740 0.0733 0.0736