YEARLY HIGH
0.0806 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.0744 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0766 SCR

2018 DJF to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 27, valuing the pair at 0.0806. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 5, dropping to 0.0744.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0062 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0779 to the December average rate of 0.0768, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0806 was up 1.79% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0792, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 403 SCR
2017 Average 380 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 372 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 31.22 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0781
0.0757
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0766, compared to 0.0765 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0766
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0765

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0044 SCR (High: 0.0806 / Low: 0.0762). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 SCR (High: 0.0764 / Low: 0.0763).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0044
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.0767) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0762), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0004 (+0.54%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.0767
2017 Avg (September) 0.0762

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0793 0.0763 0.0779
February 0.0786 0.0744 0.0767
March 0.0797 0.0759 0.0771
April 0.0777 0.0759 0.0762
May 0.0789 0.0755 0.0759
June 0.0762 0.0755 0.0759
July 0.0764 0.0760 0.0761
August 0.0764 0.0763 0.0763
September 0.0806 0.0762 0.0767
October 0.0780 0.0764 0.0767
November 0.0769 0.0766 0.0767
December 0.0783 0.0766 0.0768