2011 DJF to STD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

106.9450 STD

YEARLY LOW

92.8921 STD

YEARLY AVERAGE

99.2498 STD

2011 DJF to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the DJF to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 106.9450. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 1, dropping to 92.8921.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.0528 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 103.4629 to the December average rate of 103.9765, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 106.9450 was down 7.41% compared to the 2010 peak of 115.5034, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 534,725 STD

2010 Average 514,768 STD

Yearly Trough Low 464,461 STD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 70,264.12 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

104.7680

95.2704

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 98.7092, compared to 99.7904 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0812 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 98.7092

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 99.7904

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 6.8926 STD (High: 99.7847 / Low: 92.8921). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.4427 STD (High: 97.6219 / Low: 95.1792).

April Spread (Volatile) ±6.8926

July Spread (Stable) ±2.4427

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 2.6729 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.6729

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 103.4629) against the same month in 2010 (average: 92.2215), the exchange rate shifted by +11.2414 (+12.19%).

2011 Avg (January) 103.4629

2010 Avg (January) 92.2215

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	106.9450	100.6493	103.4629
February	102.6261	99.8224	101.3457
March	100.3009	97.1122	98.7348
April	99.7847	92.8921	96.0619
May	98.1876	92.8921	96.4703
June	97.2981	94.3907	96.1798
July	97.6219	95.1792	96.5447
August	97.9625	95.3457	96.7025
September	101.8591	95.9791	98.9096
October	104.0678	98.2355	101.2025
November	103.6122	98.6029	101.4065
December	105.5769	102.0708	103.9765