YEARLY HIGH
118.8991 STD
YEARLY LOW
110.2476 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
116.1533 STD

2018 DJF to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 20, valuing the pair at 118.8991. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 110.2476.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.6515 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 113.0019 to the December average rate of 118.2452, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 118.8991 was down 9.88% compared to the 2017 peak of 131.9288, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 594,496 STD
2017 Average 607,598 STD
Yearly Trough Low 551,238 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 43,257.38 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

119.1838
111.1245
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 114.0742, compared to 118.2324 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.1582 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 114.0742
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 118.2324

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 3.6878 STD (High: 114.4019 / Low: 110.7141). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0332 STD (High: 118.2618 / Low: 118.2286).

January Spread (Volatile) ±3.6878
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0332

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.2058 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2058

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 118.0016) against the same month in 2017 (average: 122.1025), the exchange rate shifted by -4.1009 (-3.36%).

2018 Avg (June) 118.0016
2017 Avg (June) 122.1025

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 114.4019 110.7141 113.0019
February 113.2033 110.2476 111.7961
March 112.8333 111.7495 112.3316
April 113.6038 112.1600 112.7132
May 118.7589 115.1401 116.6006
June 118.8991 116.9318 118.0016
July 118.4534 117.3564 117.9496
August 118.2618 118.0944 118.2307
September 118.2618 117.8975 118.2043
October 118.7777 118.2286 118.5122
November 118.2618 118.2286 118.2524
December 118.2618 118.2286 118.2452