YEARLY HIGH
124.3526 STD
YEARLY LOW
114.5285 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
120.8796 STD

2020 DJF to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the DJF to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 13, valuing the pair at 124.3526. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 114.5285.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.8241 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 121.1121 to the December average rate of 116.1268, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 124.3526 was down 12.54% compared to the 2019 peak of 142.1857, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 621,763 STD
2019 Average 598,901 STD
Yearly Trough Low 572,643 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 49,120.49 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

124.9624
115.3235
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 123.3364, compared to 118.4228 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.9136 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 123.3364
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 118.4228

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was July, with a trading range of 3.4789 STD (High: 123.5622 / Low: 120.0834). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0340 STD (High: 121.1280 / Low: 121.0940).

July Spread (Volatile) ±3.4789
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0340

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 3.8227 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.8227

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 124.1591) against the same month in 2019 (average: 118.2505), the exchange rate shifted by +5.9086 (+5.00%).

2020 Avg (March) 124.1591
2019 Avg (March) 118.2505

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 121.1280 121.0940 121.1121
February 123.8920 121.0940 123.2363
March 124.3526 123.8572 124.1591
April 124.3526 123.8455 123.8831
May 123.8803 123.8436 123.8628
June 123.8784 123.5440 123.7651
July 123.5622 120.0834 122.4330
August 120.1685 117.7536 118.6103
September 118.1938 116.9454 117.7551
October 118.2248 117.1664 117.9161
November 118.2560 117.3858 117.6955
December 117.4527 114.5285 116.1268