2016 EGP to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0285 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.4070 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8563 MOP

2016 EGP to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the EGP to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 19, valuing the pair at 1.0285. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 0.4070.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6216 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0237 to the December average rate of 0.4346, the exchange rate registered a net change of -57.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.0285 was down 8.47% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.1237, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EGP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,143 MOP

2015 Average 5,182 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 2,035 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,107.80 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.0826

0.3756

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EGP to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9505, compared to 0.7621 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1883 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9505

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7621

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.4542 MOP (High: 0.8998 / Low: 0.4456). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0028 MOP (High: 0.9017 / Low: 0.8989).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4542

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0028

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.3625 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3625

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.0237) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.1007), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0771 (-7.00%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.0237

2015 Avg (January) 1.1007

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0285	1.0191	1.0237
February	1.0256	1.0211	1.0234
March	1.0249	0.8931	0.9543
April	0.9017	0.8989	0.8998
May	0.9028	0.8986	0.9008
June	0.9073	0.8989	0.9009
July	0.9031	0.8974	0.9001
August	0.9030	0.8989	0.9002
September	0.9026	0.8990	0.9004
October	0.9014	0.8974	0.9001
November	0.8998	0.4456	0.5375
December	0.4484	0.4070	0.4346