YEARLY HIGH
0.4601 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.4478 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4533 MOP

2018 EGP to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the EGP to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 13, valuing the pair at 0.4601. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 0.4478.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0122 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4549 to the December average rate of 0.4499, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4601 was down 9.56% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5087, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EGP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,300 MOP
2017 Average 2,252 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 2,239 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 61.19 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4589
0.4491
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EGP to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4556, compared to 0.4511 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0045 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4556
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4511

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0086 MOP (High: 0.4592 / Low: 0.4506). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0022 MOP (High: 0.4570 / Low: 0.4548).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0086
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0022

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0031 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0031

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 0.4575) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4436), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0139 (+3.14%).

2018 Avg (April) 0.4575
2017 Avg (April) 0.4436

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4577 0.4524 0.4549
February 0.4570 0.4548 0.4560
March 0.4598 0.4567 0.4581
April 0.4601 0.4553 0.4575
May 0.4592 0.4506 0.4544
June 0.4548 0.4512 0.4525
July 0.4541 0.4510 0.4519
August 0.4544 0.4511 0.4522
September 0.4544 0.4487 0.4514
October 0.4520 0.4487 0.4508
November 0.4522 0.4487 0.4504
December 0.4530 0.4478 0.4499