YEARLY HIGH
178.0750 DJF
YEARLY LOW
148.0500 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
177.9423 DJF

2019 ERN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ERN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 178.0750. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 148.0500.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 30.0250 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 177.0516 to the December average rate of 178.0121, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.54% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 178.0750 was down 0.50% compared to the 2018 peak of 178.9700, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ERN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 890,375 DJF
2018 Average 889,200 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 740,250 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 150,125.00 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

178.1294
176.9536
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ERN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 177.8605, compared to 178.0242 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1637 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 177.8605
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 178.0242

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 30.0250 DJF (High: 178.0750 / Low: 148.0500). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0250 DJF (High: 178.0500 / Low: 178.0250).

January Spread (Volatile) ±30.0250
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0250

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0129 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0129

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 177.0516) against the same month in 2018 (average: 178.7048), the exchange rate shifted by -1.6532 (-0.93%).

2019 Avg (January) 177.0516
2018 Avg (January) 178.7048

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 178.0750 148.0500 177.0516
February 178.0500 178.0000 178.0188
March 178.0500 178.0000 178.0169
April 178.0500 178.0000 178.0232
May 178.0500 178.0000 178.0274
June 178.0500 178.0000 178.0250
July 178.0500 178.0000 178.0282
August 178.0500 178.0250 178.0315
September 178.0500 178.0000 178.0258
October 178.0500 178.0000 178.0226
November 178.0500 178.0000 178.0250
December 178.0500 178.0000 178.0121