YEARLY HIGH
179.2616 DJF
YEARLY LOW
176.6798 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
178.0244 DJF

2021 ERN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ERN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 179.2616. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 8, dropping to 176.6798.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5818 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 178.1700 to the December average rate of 178.0535, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 179.2616 was up 0.40% compared to the 2020 peak of 178.5432, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ERN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 896,308 DJF
2020 Average 890,131 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 883,399 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,908.94 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

178.1926
177.9215
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ERN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 178.0349, compared to 178.0139 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0211 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 178.0349
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 178.0139

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 2.2312 DJF (High: 178.9109 / Low: 176.6798). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1362 DJF (High: 178.0994 / Low: 177.9632).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.2312
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1362

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1306 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1306

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 178.0535) against the same month in 2020 (average: 178.0320), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0215 (+0.01%).

2021 Avg (December) 178.0535
2020 Avg (December) 178.0320

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 178.9021 177.8702 178.1700
February 178.3179 177.9366 178.0394
March 178.2048 177.4831 178.0023
April 178.1984 177.4385 177.9562
May 178.9109 176.6798 178.0068
June 178.1426 177.9638 178.0349
July 178.0832 177.4547 177.9441
August 178.6564 177.7720 178.0419
September 178.0994 177.9632 178.0195
October 178.0595 177.7399 178.0006
November 178.3106 177.9161 178.0237
December 179.2616 177.2779 178.0535