2012 ETB to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.3582 ALL

YEARLY LOW

5.7696 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.0880 ALL

2012 ETB to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ETB to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 31, valuing the pair at 6.3582. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 5.7696.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5886 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.1947 to the December average rate of 5.8447, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 6.3582 was down 24.37% compared to the 2011 peak of 8.4067, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,791 ALL

2011 Average 32,204 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 28,848 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,942.95 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

6.2941

5.8039

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.1413, compared to 6.0348 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1065 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.1413

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.0348

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.3029 ALL (High: 6.3582 / Low: 6.0553). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1046 ALL (High: 6.1289 / Low: 6.0243).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.3029

March Spread (Stable) ±0.1046

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1776 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1776

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2012: 6.1911) against the same month in 2011 (average: 5.8710), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3200 (+5.45%).

2012 Avg (May) 6.1911

2011 Avg (May) 5.8710

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.2968	6.0718	6.1947
February	6.1362	5.9899	6.0613
March	6.1289	6.0243	6.0719
April	6.1398	6.0249	6.0891
May	6.3582	6.0553	6.1911
June	6.3441	6.1532	6.2397
July	6.3416	6.1513	6.2532
August	6.2638	6.1034	6.1697
September	6.1068	5.8755	5.9921
October	6.0169	5.8903	5.9506
November	6.0533	5.9161	5.9985
December	5.9340	5.7696	5.8447