YEARLY HIGH
4.0786 ALL
YEARLY LOW
3.7889 ALL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9054 ALL

2018 ETB to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 4.0786. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 3.7889.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2897 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9878 to the December average rate of 3.8485, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.0786 was down 29.56% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.7898, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,393 ALL
2017 Average 25,004 ALL
Yearly Trough Low 18,944 ALL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,448.42 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.0032
3.8190
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9038, compared to 3.9070 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0032 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9038
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9070

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.1798 ALL (High: 4.0786 / Low: 3.8988). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0704 ALL (High: 3.9479 / Low: 3.8774).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1798
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0704

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0792 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0792

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 3.9878) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.6849), the exchange rate shifted by -1.6970 (-29.85%).

2018 Avg (January) 3.9878
2017 Avg (January) 5.6849

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0786 3.8988 3.9878
February 3.9721 3.8594 3.9086
March 3.9344 3.8185 3.8687
April 3.8801 3.7975 3.8343
May 3.9727 3.8609 3.9026
June 3.9547 3.8240 3.9206
July 3.9479 3.8774 3.9104
August 4.0120 3.8861 3.9411
September 3.9730 3.8444 3.9164
October 3.9588 3.8794 3.9097
November 3.9573 3.8794 3.9160
December 3.8989 3.7889 3.8485