YEARLY HIGH
3.9197 ALL
YEARLY LOW
3.3968 ALL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7650 ALL

2019 ETB to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ETB to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 29, valuing the pair at 3.9197. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 3.3968.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5230 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8413 to the December average rate of 3.4977, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.9197 was down 3.89% compared to the 2018 peak of 4.0786, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,599 ALL
2018 Average 19,527 ALL
Yearly Trough Low 16,984 ALL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,614.89 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.9122
3.4600
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8246, compared to 3.7055 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1191 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8246
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.7055

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.2512 ALL (High: 3.6480 / Low: 3.3968). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0626 ALL (High: 3.8721 / Low: 3.8095).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.2512
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0626

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2183 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2183

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 3.8745) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.8687), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0058 (+0.15%).

2019 Avg (March) 3.8745
2018 Avg (March) 3.8687

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.8721 3.8095 3.8413
February 3.8788 3.8127 3.8514
March 3.9197 3.8433 3.8745
April 3.8975 3.7945 3.8404
May 3.8387 3.7592 3.8067
June 3.8125 3.7028 3.7332
July 3.8091 3.7129 3.7554
August 3.7793 3.6963 3.7363
September 3.8171 3.7232 3.7587
October 3.8265 3.7193 3.7689
November 3.7785 3.6390 3.7160
December 3.6480 3.3968 3.4977