YEARLY HIGH
0.8754 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.8100 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8642 HNL

2018 ETB to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 25, valuing the pair at 0.8754. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 4, dropping to 0.8100.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0653 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8608 to the December average rate of 0.8606, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.8754 was down 16.96% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0542, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,377 HNL
2017 Average 4,920 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 4,050 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 326.71 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.8710
0.8570
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8622, compared to 0.8662 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0040 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8622
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8662

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0648 HNL (High: 0.8748 / Low: 0.8100). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0054 HNL (High: 0.8724 / Low: 0.8670).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0648
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0054

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0064 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0064

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 0.8698) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.0073), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1375 (-13.65%).

2018 Avg (July) 0.8698
2017 Avg (July) 1.0073

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8670 0.8524 0.8608
February 0.8641 0.8537 0.8582
March 0.8638 0.8564 0.8593
April 0.8659 0.8583 0.8614
May 0.8679 0.8589 0.8639
June 0.8724 0.8670 0.8696
July 0.8754 0.8648 0.8698
August 0.8717 0.8661 0.8687
September 0.8737 0.8608 0.8674
October 0.8712 0.8580 0.8637
November 0.8730 0.8622 0.8670
December 0.8748 0.8100 0.8606