YEARLY HIGH
0.9660 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.7708 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9068 MDL

2015 ETB to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ETB to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 27, valuing the pair at 0.9660. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 0.7708.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1951 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8227 to the December average rate of 0.9340, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.53% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.9660 was up 24.39% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.7765, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,830 MDL
2014 Average 3,561 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 3,854 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 975.62 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.9608
0.8101
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8805, compared to 0.9330 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0524 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8805
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9330

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.1163 MDL (High: 0.8871 / Low: 0.7708). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0149 MDL (High: 0.9548 / Low: 0.9399).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1163
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0149

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0213 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0213

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 0.9424) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.7176), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2248 (+31.32%).

2015 Avg (September) 0.9424
2014 Avg (September) 0.7176

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8871 0.7708 0.8227
February 0.9337 0.8874 0.9140
March 0.9148 0.8804 0.9009
April 0.9035 0.8528 0.8795
May 0.8840 0.8590 0.8710
June 0.9254 0.8747 0.8952
July 0.9218 0.9004 0.9131
August 0.9214 0.8996 0.9119
September 0.9660 0.9227 0.9424
October 0.9602 0.9358 0.9483
November 0.9548 0.9399 0.9482
December 0.9476 0.9250 0.9340