2016 ETB to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9735 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.8829 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9110 MDL

2016 ETB to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ETB to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 0.9735. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 0.8829.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0906 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9568 to the December average rate of 0.8985, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.9735 was up 0.78% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.9660, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,868 MDL

2015 Average 4,533 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 4,415 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 452.89 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9631

0.8864

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9255, compared to 0.8964 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0291 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9255

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8964

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0433 MDL (High: 0.9735 / Low: 0.9302). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0054 MDL (High: 0.8963 / Low: 0.8909).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0433

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0054

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0175 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0175

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.9568) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.8227), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1341 (+16.30%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.9568

2015 Avg (January) 0.8227

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9735	0.9302	0.9568
February	0.9538	0.9338	0.9417
March	0.9365	0.9087	0.9241
April	0.9137	0.9053	0.9111
May	0.9195	0.9077	0.9131
June	0.9148	0.8982	0.9065
July	0.9054	0.8920	0.9006
August	0.8963	0.8909	0.8936
September	0.8969	0.8895	0.8928
October	0.9036	0.8860	0.8946
November	0.9065	0.8876	0.8985
December	0.9073	0.8829	0.8985