YEARLY HIGH
0.6261 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.5941 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6073 MDL

2018 ETB to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.6261. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 12, dropping to 0.5941.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0320 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6174 to the December average rate of 0.6091, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6261 was down 30.69% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.9034, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,131 MDL
2017 Average 3,878 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 2,971 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 160.07 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6193
0.5967
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6072, compared to 0.6074 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6072
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6074

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0243 MDL (High: 0.6212 / Low: 0.5969). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0075 MDL (High: 0.6101 / Low: 0.6026).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0243
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0075

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0111 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0111

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.6174) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.8891), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2717 (-30.56%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.6174
2017 Avg (January) 0.8891

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6261 0.6052 0.6174
February 0.6118 0.6022 0.6063
March 0.6081 0.5981 0.6025
April 0.6028 0.5941 0.5986
May 0.6174 0.5999 0.6061
June 0.6171 0.6080 0.6122
July 0.6135 0.5994 0.6061
August 0.6076 0.5957 0.6017
September 0.6101 0.6026 0.6061
October 0.6210 0.6045 0.6101
November 0.6152 0.6057 0.6111
December 0.6212 0.5969 0.6091