YEARLY HIGH
5.0154 PKR
YEARLY LOW
4.0076 PKR
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3892 PKR

2018 ETB to PKR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to PKR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 5.0154. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 4.0076.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0078 PKR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0312 to the December average rate of 4.9306, the exchange rate registered a net change of 22.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.0154 was up 7.22% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.6777, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,077 PKR
2017 Average 22,069 PKR
Yearly Trough Low 20,038 PKR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,039.00 PKR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.0213
3.9334
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to PKR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1441, compared to 4.6342 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4901 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1441
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6342

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.4198 PKR (High: 4.8179 / Low: 4.3981). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0090 PKR (High: 4.2075 / Low: 4.1985).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.4198
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0090

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0588 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0588

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 4.9306) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.9730), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9577 (+24.10%).

2018 Avg (December) 4.9306
2017 Avg (December) 3.9730

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0574 4.0076 4.0312
February 4.0468 4.0109 4.0241
March 4.2162 4.0086 4.0875
April 4.2222 4.1963 4.2081
May 4.2075 4.1985 4.2041
June 4.4180 4.1930 4.3096
July 4.7215 4.3897 4.5189
August 4.4888 4.4306 4.4601
September 4.4813 4.4142 4.4488
October 4.8179 4.3981 4.6622
November 4.8164 4.7439 4.7847
December 5.0154 4.7644 4.9306