YEARLY HIGH
4.0910 PKR
YEARLY LOW
0.7745 PKR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7188 PKR

2021 ETB to PKR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ETB to PKR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 4.0910. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 0.7745.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3165 PKR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0745 to the December average rate of 3.5606, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 4.0910 was down 20.32% compared to the 2020 peak of 5.1343, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,455 PKR
2020 Average 23,227 PKR
Yearly Trough Low 3,873 PKR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,582.29 PKR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.1259
3.5092
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to PKR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8002, compared to 3.6374 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1628 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8002
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.6374

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 2.9091 PKR (High: 3.6836 / Low: 0.7745). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0243 PKR (High: 4.0910 / Low: 4.0666).

December Spread (Volatile) ±2.9091
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0243

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1779 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1779

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 4.0745) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.8265), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7520 (-15.58%).

2021 Avg (January) 4.0745
2020 Avg (January) 4.8265

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0910 4.0666 4.0745
February 4.0658 3.9106 4.0014
March 3.9271 3.7230 3.8563
April 3.7252 3.6525 3.6785
May 3.6542 3.5416 3.5948
June 3.6382 3.5604 3.5957
July 3.6663 3.5995 3.6310
August 3.7043 3.6139 3.6508
September 3.6915 3.6103 3.6572
October 3.7111 3.6225 3.6763
November 3.7016 3.5781 3.6488
December 3.6836 0.7745 3.5606