2016 GEL to AOA Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

78.0723 AOA

YEARLY LOW

56.0086 AOA

YEARLY AVERAGE

69.1450 AOA

2016 GEL to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 78.0723. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 8, dropping to 56.0086.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 22.0637 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 61.1420 to the December average rate of 62.5062, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 78.0723 was up 28.58% compared to the 2015 peak of 60.7211, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 390,362 AOA

2015 Average 272,512 AOA

Yearly Trough Low 280,043 AOA

Transaction Impact: A difference of 110,318.44 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

77.5116

59.6539

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 69.3304, compared to 68.9596 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3708 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 69.3304

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 68.9596

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 8.2951 AOA (High: 64.3038 / Low: 56.0086). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.2678 AOA (High: 71.6715 / Low: 70.4037).

January Spread (Volatile) ±8.2951

July Spread (Stable) ±1.2678

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 4.9260 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.9260

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 75.6797) against the same month in 2015 (average: 51.1302), the exchange rate shifted by +24.5495 (+48.01%).

2016 Avg (June) 75.6797

2015 Avg (June) 51.1302

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	64.3038	56.0086	61.1420
February	64.4441	62.4405	63.3799
March	69.7263	64.3161	67.1020
April	74.4574	69.8099	72.6553
May	77.4759	74.4556	76.0235
June	78.0723	70.3023	75.6797
July	71.6715	70.4037	70.7537
August	72.9427	70.3487	71.4600
September	72.3912	70.8749	71.6950
October	71.0812	69.3808	70.3255
November	69.2121	65.0972	67.0174
December	64.8267	59.2557	62.5062