YEARLY HIGH
126.8107 AOA
YEARLY LOW
64.0220 AOA
YEARLY AVERAGE
101.3082 AOA

2018 GEL to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 13, valuing the pair at 126.8107. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 64.0220.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 62.7887 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 70.0401 to the December average rate of 116.0362, the exchange rate registered a net change of 65.67% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 126.8107 was up 81.93% compared to the 2017 peak of 69.7037, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 634,053 AOA
2017 Average 332,519 AOA
Yearly Trough Low 320,110 AOA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 313,943.37 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

129.1359
64.6678
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 87.6149, compared to 115.0014 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 27.3865 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 87.6149
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 115.0014

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 19.1801 AOA (High: 83.2021 / Low: 64.0220). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7139 AOA (High: 116.8658 / Low: 115.1519).

January Spread (Volatile) ±19.1801
December Spread (Stable) ±1.7139

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 6.6481 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.6481

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 122.6843) against the same month in 2017 (average: 64.3486), the exchange rate shifted by +58.3358 (+90.66%).

2018 Avg (November) 122.6843
2017 Avg (November) 64.3486

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 83.2021 64.0220 70.0401
February 86.4067 83.4750 85.4291
March 88.2519 86.4602 87.5140
April 92.1838 88.1012 89.4364
May 96.8945 91.9773 94.6530
June 101.7402 96.5769 98.6169
July 104.9800 101.4823 103.4788
August 111.4578 104.9773 107.7732
September 120.3389 111.4246 116.2724
October 125.8763 121.1174 123.7636
November 126.8107 116.4373 122.6843
December 116.8658 115.1519 116.0362