YEARLY HIGH
168.9061 AOA
YEARLY LOW
115.1519 AOA
YEARLY AVERAGE
128.9993 AOA

2019 GEL to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 23, valuing the pair at 168.9061. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 115.1519.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 53.7543 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 116.4856 to the December average rate of 164.6438, the exchange rate registered a net change of 41.34% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 168.9061 was up 33.20% compared to the 2018 peak of 126.8107, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 844,531 AOA
2018 Average 506,895 AOA
Yearly Trough Low 575,759 AOA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 268,771.32 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

169.4596
111.6698
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 118.6129, compared to 139.3857 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 20.7728 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 118.6129
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 139.3857

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 41.4231 AOA (High: 168.0662 / Low: 126.6430). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4202 AOA (High: 118.3793 / Low: 116.9591).

October Spread (Volatile) ±41.4231
March Spread (Stable) ±1.4202

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.1177 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1177

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 164.6438) against the same month in 2018 (average: 116.0362), the exchange rate shifted by +48.6076 (+41.89%).

2019 Avg (December) 164.6438
2018 Avg (December) 116.0362

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 117.6083 115.1519 116.4856
February 119.3539 116.7926 118.1824
March 118.3793 116.9591 117.7806
April 119.4438 117.8172 118.4193
May 120.4998 117.8087 118.8805
June 124.6263 118.6548 121.9290
July 123.0200 117.7015 120.8113
August 124.1423 119.2800 122.7947
September 126.8555 123.1301 124.1225
October 168.0662 126.6430 144.3143
November 168.2382 155.2010 159.6278
December 168.9061 157.9490 164.6438