2016 GEL to ILS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8158 ILS

YEARLY LOW

1.3671 ILS

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6283 ILS

2016 GEL to ILS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to ILS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 14, valuing the pair at 1.8158. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 1.3671.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4487 ILS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6206 to the December average rate of 1.4453, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.82% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.8158 was down 20.66% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.2887, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,079 ILS

2015 Average 8,933 ILS

Yearly Trough Low 6,836 ILS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,243.40 ILS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.7932

1.4137

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to ILS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6673, compared to 1.5894 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0779 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6673

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5894

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.1800 ILS (High: 1.8158 / Low: 1.6358). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0334 ILS (High: 1.6386 / Low: 1.6052).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1800

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0334

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1145 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1145

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 1.7616) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.6927), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0688 (+4.07%).

2016 Avg (June) 1.7616

2015 Avg (June) 1.6927

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6376	1.5961	1.6206
February	1.5991	1.5558	1.5728
March	1.6853	1.5741	1.6282
April	1.6880	1.6411	1.6719
May	1.8115	1.6794	1.7487
June	1.8158	1.6358	1.7616
July	1.6702	1.6176	1.6471
August	1.6589	1.6217	1.6381
September	1.6454	1.6051	1.6300
October	1.6386	1.6052	1.6214
November	1.5945	1.5071	1.5544
December	1.4966	1.3671	1.4453