YEARLY HIGH
31.5351 INR
YEARLY LOW
24.2292 INR
YEARLY AVERAGE
28.4954 INR

2016 GEL to INR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to INR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 1, valuing the pair at 31.5351. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 24.2292.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.3059 INR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 27.6173 to the December average rate of 25.5774, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.39% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 31.5351 was down 12.36% compared to the 2015 peak of 35.9825, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 157,675 INR
2015 Average 146,953 INR
Yearly Trough Low 121,146 INR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 36,529.42 INR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

31.2109
25.0653
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to INR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 29.0272, compared to 27.9636 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0636 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 29.0272
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 27.9636

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 2.8712 INR (High: 31.5351 / Low: 28.6639). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6204 INR (High: 28.5940 / Low: 27.9736).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.8712
October Spread (Stable) ±0.6204

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2.0080 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.0080

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 30.6983) against the same month in 2015 (average: 28.2612), the exchange rate shifted by +2.4371 (+8.62%).

2016 Avg (June) 30.6983
2015 Avg (June) 28.2612

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 27.9415 27.2085 27.6173
February 27.8581 27.1530 27.4947
March 29.0686 27.1653 28.1928
April 29.8949 28.7899 29.4613
May 31.5209 29.8220 30.6988
June 31.5351 28.6639 30.6983
July 29.0632 28.3807 28.6903
August 29.5631 28.3894 28.8898
September 29.1788 28.4272 28.9051
October 28.5940 27.9736 28.3378
November 27.8799 26.9398 27.3813
December 26.6800 24.2292 25.5774