2012 GEL to SAR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.3150 SAR

YEARLY LOW

2.1654 SAR

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.2469 SAR

2012 GEL to SAR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GEL to SAR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 14, valuing the pair at 2.3150. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 7, dropping to 2.1654.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1496 SAR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.2464 to the December average rate of 2.2600, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.60% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2.3150 was up 1.15% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.2886, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,575 SAR

2011 Average 11,134 SAR

Yearly Trough Low 10,827 SAR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 747.78 SAR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.3215

2.1562

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to SAR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.2797, compared to 2.2141 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0657 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.2797

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.2141

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was October, with a trading range of 0.0981 SAR (High: 2.2635 / Low: 2.1654). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0066 SAR (High: 2.1752 / Low: 2.1686).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0981

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0066

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1093 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1093

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2012: 2.3077) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.2373), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0704 (+3.15%).

2012 Avg (May) 2.3077

2011 Avg (May) 2.2373

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.2521	2.2418	2.2464
February	2.3086	2.2457	2.2622
March	2.2890	2.2497	2.2727
April	2.3051	2.2753	2.2937
May	2.3150	2.2971	2.3077
June	2.3079	2.2813	2.2957
July	2.2522	2.1662	2.1864
August	2.1752	2.1686	2.1727
September	2.1728	2.1661	2.1699
October	2.2635	2.1654	2.2385
November	2.2628	2.2467	2.2567
December	2.2682	2.2529	2.2600