2016 GEL to SAR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7661 SAR

YEARLY LOW

1.3397 SAR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5914 SAR

2016 GEL to SAR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to SAR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 1.7661. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 1.3397.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4264 SAR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5404 to the December average rate of 1.4149, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.7661 was down 17.18% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.1325, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,831 SAR

2015 Average 8,616 SAR

Yearly Trough Low 6,698 SAR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,132.22 SAR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.7504

1.3844

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to SAR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6210, compared to 1.5619 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0591 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6210

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5619

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.1755 SAR (High: 1.7661 / Low: 1.5906). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0203 SAR (High: 1.5216 / Low: 1.5013).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1755

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0203

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1096 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1096

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 1.7121) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.6612), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0510 (+3.07%).

2016 Avg (June) 1.7121

2015 Avg (June) 1.6612

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5654	1.5072	1.5404
February	1.5216	1.5013	1.5106
March	1.6395	1.5183	1.5804
April	1.6845	1.6303	1.6623
May	1.7524	1.6845	1.7199
June	1.7661	1.5906	1.7121
July	1.6209	1.5943	1.6025
August	1.6518	1.5935	1.6185
September	1.6393	1.6058	1.6241
October	1.6097	1.5717	1.5930
November	1.5673	1.4744	1.5181
December	1.4690	1.3397	1.4149