2016 GEL to UAH Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.7624 UAH

YEARLY LOW

9.4120 UAH

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.8369 UAH

2016 GEL to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 11, valuing the pair at 11.7624. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 9.4120.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3505 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.9802 to the December average rate of 9.9110, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 11.7624 was down 27.99% compared to the 2015 peak of 16.3336, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 58,812 UAH

2015 Average 49,947 UAH

Yearly Trough Low 47,060 UAH

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,752.38 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

11.7316

9.7455

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.9966, compared to 10.6772 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3194 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.9966

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.6772

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 1.2118 UAH (High: 11.7624 / Low: 10.5506). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2062 UAH (High: 11.4545 / Low: 11.2483).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.2118

April Spread (Stable) ±0.2062

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.7752 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7752

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 11.3805) against the same month in 2015 (average: 9.4098), the exchange rate shifted by +1.9707 (+20.94%).

2016 Avg (June) 11.3805

2015 Avg (June) 9.4098

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.4167	9.6090	9.9802
February	11.0553	10.2976	10.6641
March	11.6162	10.5077	11.0599
April	11.4545	11.2483	11.3289
May	11.7416	11.2925	11.5661
June	11.7624	10.5506	11.3805
July	10.7342	10.5131	10.6053
August	11.3577	10.5309	10.8505
September	11.6692	11.0673	11.3654
October	11.1046	10.6658	10.9227
November	10.6809	10.0444	10.4085
December	10.2469	9.4120	9.9110