YEARLY HIGH
11.7365 UAH
YEARLY LOW
10.2201 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.9479 UAH

2018 GEL to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 11.7365. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 10.2201.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5163 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.1379 to the December average rate of 10.4209, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 11.7365 was up 3.71% compared to the 2017 peak of 11.3163, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 58,682 UAH
2017 Average 53,272 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 51,101 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,581.66 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

11.5844
10.3151
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.8363, compared to 11.0595 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2232 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.8363
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.0595

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 1.1341 UAH (High: 11.5125 / Low: 10.3784). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2008 UAH (High: 10.7911 / Low: 10.5903).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.1341
June Spread (Stable) ±0.2008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.6313 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6313

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 11.1379) against the same month in 2017 (average: 10.1021), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0358 (+10.25%).

2018 Avg (January) 11.1379
2017 Avg (January) 10.1021

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.7365 10.8338 11.1379
February 11.3248 10.9039 11.0383
March 10.9377 10.6151 10.7502
April 10.9309 10.5857 10.7316
May 10.7859 10.5333 10.6703
June 10.7911 10.5903 10.6897
July 10.9696 10.7051 10.7778
August 11.4034 10.9789 11.1518
September 11.6087 11.2999 11.4786
October 11.5820 11.3620 11.4758
November 11.5125 10.3784 11.0522
December 10.6399 10.2201 10.4209