YEARLY HIGH
10.6102 UAH
YEARLY LOW
8.0500 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.2051 UAH

2019 GEL to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 10.6102. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 30, dropping to 8.0500.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5601 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.4745 to the December average rate of 8.1475, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 10.6102 was down 9.60% compared to the 2018 peak of 11.7365, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 53,051 UAH
2018 Average 54,734 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 40,250 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,800.54 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

10.7072
7.9149
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.9667, compared to 8.4434 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5234 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.9667
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.4434

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 0.8896 UAH (High: 9.3405 / Low: 8.4508). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2241 UAH (High: 8.2873 / Low: 8.0632).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.8896
December Spread (Stable) ±0.2241

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.5739 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5739

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 10.4745) against the same month in 2018 (average: 11.1379), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6634 (-5.96%).

2019 Avg (January) 10.4745
2018 Avg (January) 11.1379

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.6102 10.3216 10.4745
February 10.4335 10.0231 10.2393
March 10.1562 9.7892 10.0187
April 10.1188 9.7456 9.9314
May 9.8366 9.4517 9.5892
June 9.8711 9.1543 9.5474
July 9.3405 8.4508 8.9734
August 8.8477 8.4390 8.6211
September 8.5973 8.1052 8.3458
October 8.5439 8.1935 8.3762
November 8.4029 8.0500 8.1964
December 8.2873 8.0632 8.1475