YEARLY HIGH
3.8522 VEF
YEARLY LOW
2.5823 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5017 VEF

2013 GEL to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the GEL to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 20, valuing the pair at 3.8522. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 2.5823.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2699 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.5905 to the December average rate of 3.6318, the exchange rate registered a net change of 40.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 3.8522 was up 45.28% compared to the 2012 peak of 2.6515, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,261 VEF
2012 Average 12,862 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 12,911 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,349.71 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

3.9581
2.4662
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.2474, compared to 3.7560 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5086 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.2474
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.7560

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 1.2112 VEF (High: 3.7955 / Low: 2.5843). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0092 VEF (High: 3.8059 / Low: 3.7967).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.2112
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0092

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1161 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1161

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 3.8338) against the same month in 2012 (average: 2.6426), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1912 (+45.08%).

2013 Avg (May) 3.8338
2012 Avg (May) 2.6426

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.5934 2.5823 2.5905
February 2.5980 2.5858 2.5937
March 3.7955 2.5843 2.8611
April 3.8151 3.7944 3.8052
May 3.8522 3.8107 3.8338
June 3.8254 3.7621 3.8000
July 3.8059 3.7967 3.8015
August 3.8044 3.7787 3.7880
September 3.7979 3.7767 3.7873
October 3.7872 3.7644 3.7792
November 3.7640 3.7138 3.7480
December 3.7146 3.5974 3.6318