YEARLY HIGH
3.6163 VEF
YEARLY LOW
3.4368 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5765 VEF

2014 GEL to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the GEL to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 24, valuing the pair at 3.6163. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 3, dropping to 3.4368.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1795 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5693 to the December average rate of 3.5430, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 3.6163 was down 6.12% compared to the 2013 peak of 3.8522, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,081 VEF
2013 Average 17,530 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 17,184 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 897.43 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

3.6165
3.5363
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5773, compared to 3.5758 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0015 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5773
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.5758

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.1448 VEF (High: 3.5816 / Low: 3.4368). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0139 VEF (High: 3.5700 / Low: 3.5562).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1448
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0139

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0323 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0323

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2014: 3.6098) against the same month in 2013 (average: 3.7880), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1782 (-4.70%).

2014 Avg (August) 3.6098
2013 Avg (August) 3.7880

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5991 3.5399 3.5693
February 3.6153 3.5449 3.5894
March 3.6130 3.5822 3.5959
April 3.5880 3.5601 3.5781
May 3.5826 3.5562 3.5688
June 3.5700 3.5562 3.5621
July 3.6093 3.5606 3.5748
August 3.6163 3.6000 3.6098
September 3.6087 3.5831 3.5951
October 3.5934 3.5699 3.5822
November 3.5830 3.4809 3.5498
December 3.5816 3.4368 3.5430