YEARLY HIGH
94302.7105 VEF
YEARLY LOW
83106.2349 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
88416.3705 VEF

2019 GEL to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 94302.7105. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 21, dropping to 83106.2349.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11196.4757 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 93312.3349 to the December average rate of 85949.3872, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 94302.7105 was down 7.17% compared to the 2018 peak of 101581.0240, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 471,513,553 VEF
2018 Average 254,996,358 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 415,531,174 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 55,982,378.32 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

94676.5860
82750.1596
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 91985.5424, compared to 84847.1986 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7138.3438 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 91985.5424
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 84847.1986

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 5238.4715 VEF (High: 88904.3443 / Low: 83665.8728). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 684.2633 VEF (High: 92546.6079 / Low: 91862.3446).

July Spread (Volatile) ±5238.4715
April Spread (Stable) ±684.2633

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2989.1138 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2989.1138

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 93682.7172) against the same month in 2018 (average: 6643.4810), the exchange rate shifted by +87039.2362 (+1310.15%).

2019 Avg (February) 93682.7172
2018 Avg (February) 6643.4810

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 93592.3323 92719.2695 93312.3349
February 94302.7105 92374.5882 93682.7172
March 93416.4069 92203.2068 92658.9679
April 92546.6079 91862.3446 92209.4060
May 91862.3446 88587.3947 90337.9673
June 91355.7508 86883.7910 89711.8613
July 88904.3443 83665.8728 86722.7475
August 85537.9147 84233.0991 84857.7988
September 84519.6062 83385.1148 83944.3683
October 84376.1094 83245.4413 83864.8613
November 84158.3550 83106.2349 83744.0285
December 87035.9517 83665.8728 85949.3872