YEARLY HIGH
0.0359 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.0323 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0344 BAM

2018 GMD to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GMD to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 29, valuing the pair at 0.0359. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 0.0323.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0036 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0334 to the December average rate of 0.0347, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0359 was down 17.91% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0438, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 180 BAM
2017 Average 190 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 162 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17.98 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0357
0.0332
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0341, compared to 0.0347 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0341
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0347

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0021 BAM (High: 0.0344 / Low: 0.0323). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 BAM (High: 0.0350 / Low: 0.0345).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0021
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0007 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0007

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 0.0350) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0384), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0033 (-8.67%).

2018 Avg (May) 0.0350
2017 Avg (May) 0.0384

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0344 0.0323 0.0334
February 0.0339 0.0328 0.0334
March 0.0340 0.0332 0.0335
April 0.0343 0.0334 0.0337
May 0.0359 0.0344 0.0350
June 0.0359 0.0350 0.0355
July 0.0356 0.0341 0.0350
August 0.0359 0.0345 0.0352
September 0.0352 0.0338 0.0345
October 0.0349 0.0337 0.0344
November 0.0350 0.0337 0.0346
December 0.0350 0.0345 0.0347