2011 GMD to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6442 ETB

YEARLY LOW

0.4505 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5645 ETB

2011 GMD to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the GMD to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 22, valuing the pair at 0.6442. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 26, dropping to 0.4505.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1937 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4591 to the December average rate of 0.5958, the exchange rate registered a net change of 29.77% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.6442 was up 35.27% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.4763, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,221 ETB

2010 Average 2,106 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 2,253 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 968.45 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.6293

0.4387

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5311, compared to 0.5979 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0668 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5311

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5979

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 0.1622 ETB (High: 0.6317 / Low: 0.4696). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0146 ETB (High: 0.4655 / Low: 0.4509).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1622

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0146

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0255 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0255

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2011: 0.6134) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.3880), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2254 (+58.08%).

2011 Avg (July) 0.6134

2010 Avg (July) 0.3880

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4695	0.4505	0.4591
February	0.4655	0.4509	0.4545
March	0.4784	0.4520	0.4625
April	0.6317	0.4696	0.5902
May	0.6227	0.5955	0.6075
June	0.6398	0.5906	0.6129
July	0.6442	0.5935	0.6134
August	0.6260	0.5913	0.6130
September	0.6162	0.5679	0.5875
October	0.6070	0.5680	0.5897
November	0.5991	0.5747	0.5883
December	0.6052	0.5827	0.5958