2013 GMD to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5835 ETB

YEARLY LOW

0.5001 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5539 ETB

2013 GMD to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the GMD to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 19, valuing the pair at 0.5835. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 0.5001.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0834 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5475 to the December average rate of 0.5037, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.5835 was down 4.32% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.6099, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,917 ETB

2012 Average 2,860 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 2,501 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 416.98 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.5873

0.4961

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5481, compared to 0.5597 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0116 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5481

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5597

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was November, with a trading range of 0.0832 ETB (High: 0.5835 / Low: 0.5003). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0072 ETB (High: 0.5815 / Low: 0.5744).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0832

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0072

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0496 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0496

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2013: 0.5533) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.5878), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0345 (-5.86%).

2013 Avg (November) 0.5533

2012 Avg (November) 0.5878

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5661	0.5353	0.5475
February	0.5592	0.5395	0.5514
March	0.5605	0.5454	0.5544
April	0.5631	0.5523	0.5597
May	0.5661	0.5296	0.5573
June	0.5513	0.5114	0.5182
July	0.5763	0.5231	0.5703
August	0.5781	0.5364	0.5726
September	0.5815	0.5744	0.5786
October	0.5827	0.5735	0.5797
November	0.5835	0.5003	0.5533
December	0.5080	0.5001	0.5037